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Additional info for Trade and Development Report; 2005 (Trade and Development Report)

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The general level of inflation went down from over 10 per cent to about 8 per cent. Real GDP growth in 2004 was widespread in both sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa. High oil prices underscored output growth in Central Africa, which recorded the highest subregional growth rate at just over 7 per cent, and North Africa, with a growth rate of around 5 per cent. Economic performance in East and West Africa benefited from a combination of higher agricultural output and rising commodity prices. However, economic growth in West Africa was subdued, due to political instability in CBte d'Ivoire and a locust invasion in Mali, Niger and Senegal.

Expect appreciations and depreciations to be equally distributed over the long term, the shortterm valuation does not change their perception of a long-lasting current-account deficit. For most of the developing countries the valuation effect is felt on both sides of the balance sheet. The liabilities of developing countries are normally denominated in foreign currencies. For these countries, exchange rate movements af- fect both the domestic value of assets and the domestic value of liabilities.

In late 1978, OPEC cutbacks triggered the second oil priceshock and oil prices-ieaked at $39 in November 1980. Compared with the two oil price shocks in the 1970s, the substantial oil price rise between 1998 and mid-2005 presents several features rendering it less dramatic than it seems to be at first glance.

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