By John Brockman provides tremendous, obtainable, state-of-the-art principles to enhance our decision-making talents and enhance our cognitive toolkits, with contributions by means of Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Richard Dawkins, Brian Eno, Steven Pinker, and extra. that includes a foreword through ny instances columnist David Brooks and edited by way of John Brockman, this may Make You Smarter offers the superior knowledge from todays best thinkersto make greater thinkers out of the leaders of the following day.

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But it can be and generally is overdone. Nigel Goldenfeld Because Complex systems, such as financial markets or the Earth’s biosphere, do not seem to obey causality. Stuart Firestein The Name Game Even words that, like “gravity,” seem well settled may lend more of an aura to an idea than it deserves. Seth Lloyd Living Is Fatal People are bad at probability on a deep, intuitive level. Garrett Lisi Uncalculated Risk We are afraid of the wrong things, and we are making bad decisions.  . a never-ending process of discovery and refinement.

Gerd Gigerenzer Risk Literacy Unlike basic literacy, risk literacy requires emotional rewiring—rejecting comforting paternalism and illusions of certainty and learning to take responsibility and to live with uncertainty. Ross Anderson Science Versus Theater Modern societies waste billions on protective measures whose real aim is to reassure rather than to reduce risk. Keith Devlin The Base Rate In cases where [an] event is dramatic and scary, like a terrorist attack on an airplane, failure to take account of the base rate can result in wasting massive amounts of effort and money trying to prevent something that is very unlikely.

So what can we do? The first thing we scientists need to do is get off our high horses, admit that our persuasive strategies have failed, and develop a better strategy. We have the advantage of having the better arguments, but the antiscientific coalition has the advantage of better funding. However, and this is ironic, the antiscientific coalition is also more scientifically organized!

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